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Tommy Tremble

Tommy Tremble Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 4

New England Patriots vs Carolina Panthers

Tommy Tremble Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+560/-980).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -670 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -980.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -5.5-point disadvantage, the Panthers are underdogs in this game, indicating more of a reliance on passing than their typical approach.

At the moment, the 4th-most pass-focused offense in football near the goal line (60.7% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Carolina Panthers.

The model projects Tommy Tremble to be a much bigger part of his offense's air attack near the goal line in this week's contest (10.7% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (4.5% in games he has played).

Tommy Tremble's 100.0% Adjusted Catch% this year marks a material growth in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 80.0% mark.

The Patriots linebackers grade out as the 7th-worst collection of LBs in football since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Panthers to run the 3rd-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.1 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Carolina Panthers since the start of last season (a lowly 55.0 per game on average).

Opposing teams have averaged 31.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Patriots defense since the start of last season: 10th-fewest in the league.

Tommy Tremble's 10.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive volume) has been notably lower this season than it was last season at 15.6.

The receiving touchdown line reads "0" on Tommy Tremble's box scores this year.

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