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Tommy Tremble

Tommy Tremble Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 3

Carolina Panthers vs Atlanta Falcons

Tommy Tremble Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+770/-2000).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +950 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +770.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's line implies a throwing game script for the Panthers, who are -4.5-point underdogs.

The predictive model expects the Panthers to be the 3rd-most pass-heavy offense in the league near the end zone (adjusted for context) right now with a 61.0% red zone pass rate.

With a fantastic 82.4% Adjusted Completion Rate (92nd percentile) since the start of last season, Tommy Tremble has been among the most reliable receivers in the league when it comes to TEs.

Since the start of last season, the imposing Atlanta Falcons run defense has allowed a measly 0.58 TDs on the ground per game to opposing offenses: the 3rd-best rate in the league.

The Falcons safeties rank as the best unit in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to stopping the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect this game to have the smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 121.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Panthers since the start of last season (a lowly 55.2 per game on average).

With a feeble 0.0% Red Zone Target Rate (1st percentile) this year, Tommy Tremble ranks as one of the tight ends with the biggest workloads near the end zone in football.

The Atlanta Falcons pass defense has surrendered the 2nd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (67.9%) to TEs since the start of last season (67.9%).

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