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Tommy Tremble

Tommy Tremble Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 16

Carolina Panthers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Tommy Tremble Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+790/-1750).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +800 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +790.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -3-point disadvantage, the Panthers are underdogs in this week's game, suggesting more of a reliance on throwing than their normal approach.
  • The leading projections forecast the Panthers to be the 9th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL near the goal line (context-neutralized) right now with a 59.7% red zone pass rate.
  • When it comes to pocket protection (and the positive impact it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Carolina Panthers ranks as the 10th-best in the league this year.
  • The Buccaneers defense has allowed the 3rd-most receiving touchdowns in football to TEs: 0.64 per game this year.
  • When it comes to linebackers in pass coverage, Tampa Bay's collection of LBs has been easily exploitable this year, projecting as the 4th-worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Carolina Panthers as the 8th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 54.4% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The projections expect this game to have the 3rd-fewest plays run among all games this week at 126.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Tommy Tremble's possession skills have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 80.0% to 72.5%.
  • The opposing side have rushed for the 8th-most touchdowns in the NFL (1.14 per game) vs. the Buccaneers defense this year.

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