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Tommy Tremble

Tommy Tremble Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 15

New Orleans Saints vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Tommy Tremble Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+900/-1300).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -2100 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1300.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Panthers to be the 5th-most pass-heavy offense in football near the goal line (in a neutral context) right now with a 60.1% red zone pass rate.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 5th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 130.7 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop.
  • The New Orleans Saints safeties rank as the 8th-best safety corps in football this year when it comes to defending the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Panthers to be the 11th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 54.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.5 pass attempts per game versus the Saints defense this year: fewest in football.
  • Tommy Tremble has compiled far fewer air yards this season (8.0 per game) than he did last season (15.0 per game).
  • Tommy Tremble's possession skills have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Catch% falling off from 80.0% to 76.7%.

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