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Tommy Tremble

Tommy Tremble Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Carolina Panthers vs Miami Dolphins

Tommy Tremble Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-146/+140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +140 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Carolina Panthers have called the 7th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a whopping 60.5 plays per game.

When it comes to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all air attack stats), the O-line of the Panthers profiles as the 6th-best in the league this year.

Tommy Tremble's possession skills have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate jumping from 80.0% to 86.3%.

This year, the deficient Dolphins pass defense has given up a massive 80.8% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing tight ends: the 10th-biggest rate in the league.

The Dolphins linebackers grade out as the 9th-worst group of LBs in the NFL this year in defending pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 59.8% rate of throwing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 10th-least pass-heavy team in football has been the Panthers.

The leading projections forecast the Panthers to run the 2nd-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 60.3 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.

Opposing teams teams have been afraid to pass too much against the Miami Dolphins, averaging the fewest attempts in football (just 27.0 per game) this year.

Tommy Tremble has run fewer routes this year (42.1% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (55.7%).

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