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Tommy Tremble

Tommy Tremble Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

New England Patriots vs Carolina Panthers

Tommy Tremble Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-103/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +101 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -5.5-point disadvantage, the Panthers are underdogs in this game, indicating more of a reliance on passing than their typical approach.

The predictive model expects Tommy Tremble to be a more integral piece of his offense's air attack in this week's game (11.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (5.8% in games he has played).

Tommy Tremble's 100.0% Adjusted Catch% this year marks a material growth in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 80.0% mark.

The Patriots linebackers grade out as the 7th-worst collection of LBs in football since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Panthers to run the 3rd-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.1 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Carolina Panthers since the start of last season (a lowly 55.0 per game on average).

Opposing teams have averaged 31.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Patriots defense since the start of last season: 10th-fewest in the league.

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