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Tommy Tremble

Tommy Tremble Receptions
Player Prop Week 18

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Tommy Tremble Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+135/-160).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +130 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Panthers are a heavy 7-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
  • The Carolina offensive line profiles as the 10th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all air attack statistics across the board.
  • This year, the anemic Buccaneers pass defense has yielded a whopping 78.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing tight ends: the 8th-biggest rate in the league.
  • The Buccaneers linebackers project as the 6th-worst group of LBs in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Carolina Panthers as the 11th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 54.4% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by the projections to see just 125.9 total plays run: the 4th-lowest number out of all the games this week.
  • Tommy Tremble has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this season (44.2% Route Participation% in games he has played) than he did last season (55.7%).
  • Tommy Tremble's 74.1% Adjusted Catch Rate this season marks an impressive regression in his receiving skills over last season's 80.0% mark.

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