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Tommy Tremble

Tommy Tremble Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Atlanta Falcons vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Tommy Tremble Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+185/-245).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Panthers are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • When it comes to pocket protection (and the strong impact it has on all air attack stats), the offensive line of the Panthers grades out as the 9th-best in the NFL this year.
  • With an exceptional 81.7% Adjusted Catch% (75th percentile) this year, Tommy Tremble stands as one of the most sure-handed receivers in football when it comes to TEs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Panthers to pass on 55.6% of their downs: the 9th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is anticipated by the predictive model to have just 127.4 offensive plays run: the 5th-lowest number among all games this week.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been afraid to lean on the pass against the Falcons, averaging the fewest attempts in the league (just 27.1 per game) this year.
  • Tommy Tremble's 45.2% Route Participation% this year indicates a substantial decrease in his pass attack workload over last year's 55.7% mark.
  • This year, the fierce Falcons defense has yielded a feeble 65.4% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing TEs: the 2nd-lowest rate in the league.

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