Tommy Tremble Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Tommy Tremble

NFL · Player Props

Tommy Tremble

TE · Carolina Panthers

Receptions

Tennessee Titans vs Carolina Panthers · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 26, 2023 5:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Tommy Tremble Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+105/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect the Carolina Panthers offensive strategy to tilt 6.6% more towards the passing game than it did last year (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Thomas Brown now calling the plays.
The Panthers are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
The 3rd-most plays in football have been run by the Carolina Panthers this year (a monstrous 62.1 per game on average).
While Tommy Tremble has accounted for 4.2% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a more important option in Carolina's pass game in this week's game at 11.0%.
Tommy Tremble's 85.8% Adjusted Catch Rate this year reflects a meaningful boost in his pass-catching ability over last year's 62.0% figure.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Panthers to run the 2nd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.6 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 33.8 pass attempts per game versus the Titans defense this year: 8th-fewest in the league.
When talking about protecting the passer (and the significance it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Carolina Panthers grades out as the 2nd-worst in football this year.

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