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Tommy Tremble

Tommy Tremble Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Green Bay Packers vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Tommy Tremble Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-105/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -13-point disadvantage, the Panthers are massive underdogs this week, implying much more of an emphasis on throwing than their normal game plan.
  • The Panthers have called the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 59.9 plays per game.
  • The Packers defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing QBs to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the NFL (41.7 per game) this year.
  • When talking about pass protection (and the positive effect it has on all pass game metrics), the offensive line of the Carolina Panthers grades out as the 9th-best in football this year.
  • Tommy Tremble's receiving reliability have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate rising from 80.0% to 85.8%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the present time, the 5th-least pass-heavy offense in the NFL (58.1% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Carolina Panthers.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to see the fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 124.2 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Tommy Tremble has been less involved as a potential target this season (45.6% Route Participation% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (55.7%).
  • Tommy Tremble has put up substantially fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (15.0) this season than he did last season (23.0).
  • Tommy Tremble's pass-game effectiveness has declined this year, totaling just 6.45 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 7.91 rate last year.

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