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Tommy Tremble

Tommy Tremble Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

New England Patriots vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Tommy Tremble Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -5.5-point disadvantage, the Panthers are underdogs in this game, indicating more of a reliance on passing than their typical approach.
  • The predictive model expects Tommy Tremble to be a more integral piece of his offense's air attack in this week's game (11.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (5.8% in games he has played).
  • Tommy Tremble's 100.0% Adjusted Catch% this year marks a material growth in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 80.0% mark.
  • The Patriots linebackers grade out as the 7th-worst collection of LBs in football since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Panthers to run the 3rd-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.1 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • The smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Carolina Panthers since the start of last season (a lowly 55.0 per game on average).
  • Opposing teams have averaged 31.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Patriots defense since the start of last season: 10th-fewest in the league.
  • Tommy Tremble has totaled significantly fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (10.0) this year than he did last year (23.0).
  • Tommy Tremble's 6.5 adjusted yards per target this season marks a remarkable diminishment in his receiving skills over last season's 7.9 rate.

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