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Tommy Tremble

Tommy Tremble Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 19

Carolina Panthers vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Tommy Tremble Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-117/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -121 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -117.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Panthers are an enormous 10.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is projected by our trusted projection set to see 130.5 total plays run: the 2nd-most among all games this week.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 34.4 pass attempts per game versus the Rams defense this year: 6th-most in the NFL.
  • The predictive model expects Tommy Tremble to be a more important option in his team's air attack in this game (13.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (7.9% in games he has played).
  • The Carolina Panthers O-line ranks as the 9th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all passing game statistics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the present time, the least pass-oriented team in the NFL (58.3% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Panthers.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being predicted in this game) generally mean worse passing effectiveness, reduced air attack volume, and higher run volume.
  • Tommy Tremble's 14.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year represents a noteworthy regression in his receiving talent over last year's 23.0 figure.
  • Tommy Tremble's 74.4% Adjusted Catch% this season signifies a remarkable diminishment in his pass-catching skills over last season's 80.0% figure.
  • Tommy Tremble's pass-catching efficiency has declined this season, accumulating a mere 6.41 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 7.91 figure last season.

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