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Tommy Tremble

Tommy Tremble Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Carolina Panthers vs New Orleans Saints

Tommy Tremble Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-115/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -7.5-point disadvantage, the Panthers are enormous underdogs in this game, implying much more of a focus on passing than their standard game plan.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.5 pass attempts per game against the New Orleans Saints defense this year: 5th-most in the league.

Tommy Tremble has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this season (55.1% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (36.9%).

The New Orleans Saints pass defense has been particularly weak when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, conceding an average of 6.36 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 2nd-most in football.

The Saints linebackers profile as the 10th-worst unit in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Carolina Panthers to pass on 54.2% of their plays: the 10th-lowest rate among all teams this week.

The predictive model expects the Panthers to call the 9th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 63.6 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The 5th-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Carolina Panthers this year (only 54.0 per game on average).

Tommy Tremble's 5.7 adjusted yards per target this year reflects a significant reduction in his receiving proficiency over last year's 6.8 figure.

This year, the daunting New Orleans Saints defense has conceded a puny 69.1% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing TEs: the 5th-smallest rate in the NFL.

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