Tommy Tremble Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Tommy Tremble

NFL · Player Props

Tommy Tremble

TE · Carolina Panthers

Receiving Yards

Tennessee Titans vs Carolina Panthers · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 26, 2023 6:06 PM EST

Analysis

Tommy Tremble Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (+100/-130).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect the Carolina Panthers offensive strategy to tilt 6.6% more towards the passing game than it did last year (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Thomas Brown now calling the plays.
The Panthers are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
The 3rd-most plays in football have been run by the Carolina Panthers this year (a monstrous 62.1 per game on average).
While Tommy Tremble has accounted for 4.2% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a more important option in Carolina's pass game in this week's game at 11.0%.
Tommy Tremble's 85.8% Adjusted Catch Rate this year reflects a meaningful boost in his pass-catching ability over last year's 62.0% figure.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Panthers to run the 2nd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.6 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 33.8 pass attempts per game versus the Titans defense this year: 8th-fewest in the league.
Tommy Tremble has accrued quite a few less air yards this year (7.0 per game) than he did last year (16.0 per game).
When talking about protecting the passer (and the significance it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Carolina Panthers grades out as the 2nd-worst in football this year.
Tommy Tremble has been one of the weakest TEs in football at picking up extra yardage, averaging just 2.75 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 22nd percentile.

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