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Tommy DeVito

Tommy DeVito Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 12

New York Giants vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Tommy DeVito Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the New York Giants as the 6th-most run-focused team among all teams this week with a 46.4% run rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The 5th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Giants this year (a whopping 61.2 per game on average).

Windy weather conditions (like the 14-mph being forecasted in this game) generally prompt lessened passing effectiveness, lower air attack volume, and higher run volume.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has produced the 9th-worst efficiency against opposing running games this year, surrendering 4.92 adjusted yards-per-carry.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers linebackers rank as the 2nd-worst collection of LBs in football this year in regard to defending the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Giants will be starting backup quarterback Tommy DeVito this week, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.

The Giants are a 6-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.

The model projects this game to have the 2nd-fewest plays run on the slate this week at 126.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

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