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Tom Kennedy Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+900/-1450).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -390 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1450.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The leading projections forecast the Detroit Lions to call the 2nd-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.8 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.The Cowboys defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, leading opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 6th-most passes in football (37.9 per game) this year.The Cowboys pass defense has been gouged for the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (70.3%) vs. wide receivers this year (70.3%).This year, the shaky Cowboys defense has been torched for a staggering 1.75 receiving TDs per game to opposing wide receivers: the biggest rate in the league.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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With a 3.5-point advantage, the Lions are favored this week, suggesting more of a focus on running than their standard game plan.Our trusted projections expect the Detroit Lions to be the 8th-least pass-heavy offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now with a 58.6% pass rate.Tom Kennedy has been has not been looked to very often his team's passing offense near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of just 0.0% since the start of last season, which places him in the 0th percentile when it comes to WRs.When talking about pocket protection (and the influence it has on all passing game statistics), the O-line of the Detroit Lions grades out as the 9th-worst in football this year.As it relates to the linebackers' role in defending against the run, Dallas's LB corps has been terrible this year, profiling as the worst in the NFL. in the NFL.
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