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Tom Kennedy

Tom Kennedy Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

Detroit Lions vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Tom Kennedy Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-185/+145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -160 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +145.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Detroit Lions to call the 2nd-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.8 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The Cowboys defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, leading opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 6th-most passes in football (37.9 per game) this year.
  • The Cowboys pass defense has been gouged for the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (70.3%) vs. wide receivers this year (70.3%).
  • The Cowboys safeties project as the 3rd-worst safety corps in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3.5-point advantage, the Lions are favored this week, suggesting more of a focus on running than their standard game plan.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Detroit Lions to be the 8th-least pass-heavy offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now with a 58.6% pass rate.
  • When talking about pocket protection (and the influence it has on all passing game statistics), the O-line of the Detroit Lions grades out as the 9th-worst in football this year.

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