Tom Brady Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Tom Brady

NFL · Player Props

Tom Brady

QB · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Rushing Yards

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 27, 2022 11:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Tom Brady Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+141/-194).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 128.2 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have run the 8th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a whopping 61.7 plays per game.
The Baltimore Ravens linebackers grade out as the 3rd-worst collection of LBs in the NFL this year when it comes to stopping the run.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have gone no-huddle on 12.7% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (8th-most in the NFL). This quickens the pace, leading to more volume and stat production.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have incorporated motion in their offense on 45.6% of their plays since the start of last season (10th-most in the league), which usually keeps the defense guessing and improves offensive efficiency.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the least run-centric team on the slate this week with a 31.9% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Tom Brady to total 1.3 carries in this week's contest, on average: the 3rd-least of all quarterbacks.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers O-line grades out as the 7th-worst in football this year at blocking for the run game.
Tom Brady has averaged a mere 0.0 yards per game on the ground this year, one of the lowest figures in football among quarterbacks (3rd percentile).

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