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Tom Brady

Tom Brady Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Dallas Cowboys vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Tom Brady Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 128.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a colossal 65.8 plays per game.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers offensive line grades out as the 4th-best in the NFL since the start of last season at blocking for rushers.
  • The Dallas Cowboys defensive tackles rank as the 3rd-worst group of DTs in football since the start of last season when it comes to stopping the run.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have gone no-huddle on 12.7% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (8th-most in the league). This speeds up the pace, leading to more volume and stat accumulation.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the least run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 32.9% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects Tom Brady to accumulate 1.5 carries in this week's game, on average: the least of all quarterbacks.
  • Tom Brady has grinded out just 4.0 rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the lowest figures in the NFL among quarterbacks (15th percentile).
  • Tom Brady has been among the worst quarterbacks in the NFL at picking up extra ground yardage, averaging just 1.54 yards-after-contact since the start of last season while checking in at the 24th percentile.

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