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T.J. Hockenson

T.J. Hockenson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 5

Cleveland Browns vs Minnesota Vikings

T.J. Hockenson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+400/-490).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -495 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -490.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Minnesota Vikings will be rolling out backup QB Carson Wentz in this week's contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

The projections expect the Minnesota Vikings to be the 2nd-most pass-focused offense in the NFL near the end zone (adjusted for context) right now with a 63.6% red zone pass rate.

With a remarkable 20.0% Red Zone Target Share (89th percentile) this year, T.J. Hockenson rates as one of the TEs with the biggest workloads near the end zone in football.

The Minnesota offensive line ranks as the 8th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.

This year, the imposing Browns run defense has allowed a measly 0.50 TDs on the ground per game to opposing offenses: the 3rd-best rate in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's spread implies a running game script for the Vikings, who are favored by 3.5 points.

The projections expect the Vikings to call the 7th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.3 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

The 5th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Vikings this year (only 52.2 per game on average).

Opposing teams have averaged 27.0 pass attempts per game against the Browns defense this year: fewest in the league.

T.J. Hockenson has accumulated significantly fewer air yards this season (29.0 per game) than he did last season (54.0 per game).

More T.J. Hockenson Player Props

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