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T.J. Hockenson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 16

New York Giants vs Minnesota Vikings

T.J. Hockenson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+355/-500).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -485 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -500.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the moment, the 2nd-most pass-centric offense in football near the goal line (63.8% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Minnesota Vikings.

T.J. Hockenson's possession skills have improved this year, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 68.8% to 78.9%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Vikings to pass on 54.4% of their plays: the 8th-lowest rate among all teams this week.

The projections expect the Minnesota Vikings to be the 4th-slowest paced defense in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, with opposing offenses averaging 29.35 seconds per snap.

The weatherman calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

T.J. Hockenson has compiled far fewer air yards this year (22.0 per game) than he did last year (54.0 per game).

T.J. Hockenson's 30.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially lower this season than it was last season at 41.0.

More T.J. Hockenson Player Props

T.J. Hockenson TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 16

New York Giants vs Minnesota Vikings

T.J. Hockenson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 16