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T.J. Hockenson

T.J. Hockenson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 12

Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
T.J. Hockenson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+475/-770).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -730 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -770.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Vikings are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Minnesota Vikings to be the most pass-focused team in the league near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 65.0% red zone pass rate.
  • The leading projections forecast the Vikings offense to be the 6th-quickest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 26.92 seconds per play.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Green Bay Packers defense this year: 6th-most in the league.
  • As it relates to pass protection (and the strong impact it has on all passing offense stats), the offensive line of the Minnesota Vikings profiles as the 8th-best in the league this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • T.J. Hockenson has put up quite a few less air yards this season (20.0 per game) than he did last season (54.0 per game).
  • T.J. Hockenson's 27.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit worse this season than it was last season at 41.0.
  • When it comes to safeties in pass coverage, Green Bay's safety corps has been terrific this year, profiling as the 3rd-best in the NFL.

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