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T.J. Hockenson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 10

Minnesota Vikings vs Baltimore Ravens

T.J. Hockenson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+350/-380).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +355 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +350.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's spread suggests a throwing game script for the Vikings, who are -4.5-point underdogs.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Vikings to pass on 62.2% of their plays: the 2nd-greatest frequency on the slate this week.

The leading projections forecast the Vikings to be the most pass-focused team in the league near the end zone (adjusted for context) right now with a 64.1% red zone pass rate.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Opposing offenses have averaged 40.1 pass attempts per game against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 2nd-most in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Vikings to be the 3rd-slowest paced defense in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now, leading opposing offenses to average 29.50 seconds per play.

After accruing 54.0 air yards per game last year, T.J. Hockenson has regressed heavily this year, now sitting at 20.0 per game.

T.J. Hockenson's 29.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive volume) has been significantly worse this year than it was last year at 41.0.

The Ravens defense has yielded the 5th-fewest receiving touchdowns in the NFL to TEs: 0.25 per game this year.

The Ravens safeties rank as the 5th-best safety corps in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

More T.J. Hockenson Player Props

T.J. Hockenson TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 10

Minnesota Vikings vs Baltimore Ravens

T.J. Hockenson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 10