My Account Log Out
 
 
T.J. Hockenson

T.J. Hockenson Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Minnesota Vikings vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
T.J. Hockenson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-110/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Minnesota Vikings will be rolling out backup quarterback Carson Wentz in this contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Minnesota Vikings to pass on 62.7% of their plays: the 3rd-greatest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline.
  • This week, T.J. Hockenson is forecasted by the predictive model to secure a spot in the 89th percentile when it comes to TEs with 6.1 targets.
  • T.J. Hockenson's possession skills have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate jumping from 68.8% to 78.6%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Vikings are expected by the predictive model to run only 62.7 offensive plays in this contest: the 7th-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • The Vikings have called the 4th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 52.8 plays per game.
  • T.J. Hockenson's 33.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been notably lower this year than it was last year at 41.0.
  • T.J. Hockenson's 3.1 adjusted receptions per game this season illustrates a meaningful decrease in his pass-catching skills over last season's 4.1 figure.
  • This year, the formidable Philadelphia Eagles defense has yielded a puny 63.3% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing TEs: the 2nd-best rate in football.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™