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T.J. Hockenson

T.J. Hockenson Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Cleveland Browns vs Minnesota Vikings

T.J. Hockenson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Minnesota Vikings will be rolling out backup QB Carson Wentz in this week's contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

At the moment, the 6th-most pass-focused team in football (63.0% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Vikings.

In this game, T.J. Hockenson is expected by the projection model to rank in the 87th percentile among TEs with 5.5 targets.

The Minnesota offensive line ranks as the 8th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's spread implies a running game script for the Vikings, who are favored by 3.5 points.

The projections expect the Vikings to call the 7th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.3 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

The 5th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Vikings this year (only 52.2 per game on average).

Opposing teams have averaged 27.0 pass attempts per game against the Browns defense this year: fewest in the league.

T.J. Hockenson's 35.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive usage) has been notably lower this season than it was last season at 41.0.

More T.J. Hockenson Player Props

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