My Account Log Out

reorder

T.J. Hockenson

T.J. Hockenson Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Minnesota Vikings vs Atlanta Falcons

T.J. Hockenson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +125 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are anticipated by our trusted projection set to call 65.1 total plays in this contest: the 6th-highest number on the slate this week.

The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.

The Falcons defense has been a well-known pass funnel since the start of last season, leading opposing offenses to attempt the 9th-most passes in the league (33.9 per game) since the start of last season.

Our trusted projections expect T.J. Hockenson to accrue 6.7 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 96th percentile among TEs.

T.J. Hockenson's 41.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the league leaders: 93rd percentile for TEs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Vikings are favored in this week's game, indicating more of an emphasis on running than their normal game plan.

With a 51.0% rate of throwing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 4th-least pass-oriented team in the NFL has been the Vikings.

The 9th-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Minnesota Vikings since the start of last season (a measly 56.0 per game on average).

With a lackluster 69.0% Adjusted Completion% (16th percentile) since the start of last season, T.J. Hockenson ranks among the most unreliable receivers in the NFL among tight ends.

The Falcons pass defense has conceded the 3rd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (68.5%) vs. TEs since the start of last season (68.5%).

More T.J. Hockenson Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™