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T.J. Hockenson
NFL · Player Props
T.J. Hockenson
TE · Detroit Lions
Receptions
Detroit Lions vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 1, 2022 Updated Sep 12, 2022 2:58 AM UTC
NFL Props T.J. Hockenson Receptions

T.J. Hockenson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+115/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -150.

Favors Over
  • The Lions are a 5.5-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • T.J. Hockenson has run a route on 84.9% of his team's dropbacks since the start of last season, ranking in the 99th percentile among TEs.
  • THE BLITZ projects T.J. Hockenson to accumulate 6.5 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 93rd percentile among tight ends.
  • T.J. Hockenson has been among the best tight ends in the pass game since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 5.0 receptions per game while grading out in the 97th percentile.
Favors Under
  • THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions as the 4th-least pass-heavy offense in football (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 58.3% pass rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-least plays run among all games this week at 120.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Detroit Lions O-line has afforded their QB a mere 2.53 seconds before the pass (9th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a measly 2.40 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 7th-quickest in the NFL since the start of last season.
  • The Detroit Lions have utilized play action on just 22.0% of their passing plays since the start of last season (6th-least in the league), creating a more one-dimensional offense that hurts passing production.
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