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T.J. Hockenson

T.J. Hockenson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Minnesota Vikings vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
T.J. Hockenson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 30.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 30.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Minnesota Vikings will be rolling out backup quarterback Carson Wentz in this contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Minnesota Vikings to pass on 62.7% of their plays: the 3rd-greatest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline.
  • This week, T.J. Hockenson is forecasted by the predictive model to secure a spot in the 89th percentile when it comes to TEs with 6.1 targets.
  • T.J. Hockenson's possession skills have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate jumping from 68.8% to 78.6%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Vikings are expected by the predictive model to run only 62.7 offensive plays in this contest: the 7th-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • The Vikings have called the 4th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 52.8 plays per game.
  • T.J. Hockenson has accrued quite a few less air yards this season (24.0 per game) than he did last season (54.0 per game).
  • T.J. Hockenson's 33.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been notably lower this year than it was last year at 41.0.
  • T.J. Hockenson has accumulated significantly fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (27.0) this season than he did last season (44.0).

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