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T.J. Hockenson

T.J. Hockenson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Cleveland Browns vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
T.J. Hockenson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 31.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 31.5 @ -118.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Minnesota Vikings will be rolling out backup QB Carson Wentz in this week's contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • At the moment, the 6th-most pass-focused team in football (63.0% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Vikings.
  • In this game, T.J. Hockenson is expected by the projection model to rank in the 87th percentile among TEs with 5.5 targets.
  • The Minnesota offensive line ranks as the 8th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's spread implies a running game script for the Vikings, who are favored by 3.5 points.
  • The projections expect the Vikings to call the 7th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.3 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The 5th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Vikings this year (only 52.2 per game on average).
  • Opposing teams have averaged 27.0 pass attempts per game against the Browns defense this year: fewest in the league.
  • T.J. Hockenson has accumulated significantly fewer air yards this season (29.0 per game) than he did last season (54.0 per game).

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