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T.J. Hockenson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 37.5 (-115/-115).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 39.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 37.5 @ -115.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are anticipated by our trusted projection set to call 65.1 total plays in this contest: the 6th-highest number on the slate this week.The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.The Falcons defense has been a well-known pass funnel since the start of last season, leading opposing offenses to attempt the 9th-most passes in the league (33.9 per game) since the start of last season.Our trusted projections expect T.J. Hockenson to accrue 6.7 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 96th percentile among TEs.T.J. Hockenson has totaled a staggering 52.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 97th percentile among TEs.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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With a 3.5-point advantage, the Vikings are favored in this week's game, indicating more of an emphasis on running than their normal game plan.With a 51.0% rate of throwing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 4th-least pass-oriented team in the NFL has been the Vikings.The 9th-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Minnesota Vikings since the start of last season (a measly 56.0 per game on average).With a lackluster 69.0% Adjusted Completion% (16th percentile) since the start of last season, T.J. Hockenson ranks among the most unreliable receivers in the NFL among tight ends.T.J. Hockenson is positioned as one of the weakest TEs in the NFL at picking up extra yardage, averaging a lowly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while grading out in the 2nd percentile.
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