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T.J. Hockenson

T.J. Hockenson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Dallas Cowboys vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
T.J. Hockenson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-112/-112).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A passing game script is suggested by the Vikings being a -5-point underdog in this week's game.
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Minnesota Vikings to pass on 60.5% of their opportunities: the 7th-highest rate on the slate this week.
  • The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline.
  • The Dallas Cowboys defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, allowing opposing QBs to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (38.0 per game) this year.
  • In this contest, T.J. Hockenson is anticipated by our trusted projection set to land in the 82nd percentile when it comes to TEs with 5.1 targets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are anticipated by the projection model to call just 63.8 offensive plays in this game: the 11th-fewest on the slate this week.
  • The Vikings have run the 2nd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 51.5 plays per game.
  • After totaling 54.0 air yards per game last season, T.J. Hockenson has undergone a big decline this season, now averaging 20.0 per game.
  • T.J. Hockenson's 28.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive usage) has been significantly worse this season than it was last season at 41.0.
  • T.J. Hockenson's 28.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this season marks a noteworthy reduction in his receiving proficiency over last season's 44.0 rate.

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