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T.J. Hockenson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Minnesota Vikings vs Baltimore Ravens

T.J. Hockenson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-112/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 30.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 29.5 @ -112.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's spread suggests a throwing game script for the Vikings, who are -4.5-point underdogs.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Vikings to pass on 62.2% of their plays: the 2nd-greatest frequency on the slate this week.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Opposing offenses have averaged 40.1 pass attempts per game against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 2nd-most in the league.

In this week's game, T.J. Hockenson is expected by the predictive model to slot into the 85th percentile among tight ends with 5.9 targets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Vikings to be the 3rd-slowest paced defense in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now, leading opposing offenses to average 29.50 seconds per play.

After accruing 54.0 air yards per game last year, T.J. Hockenson has regressed heavily this year, now sitting at 20.0 per game.

T.J. Hockenson's 29.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive volume) has been significantly worse this year than it was last year at 41.0.

T.J. Hockenson has put up many fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (25.0) this season than he did last season (44.0).

T.J. Hockenson's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season conveys a remarkable decline in his efficiency in picking up extra yardage over last season's 3.3% rate.

More T.J. Hockenson Player Props

T.J. Hockenson Receiving YardsPlayer Prop Week 10

Minnesota Vikings vs Baltimore Ravens

T.J. Hockenson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10