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Theo Johnson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 4

New York Giants vs Los Angeles Chargers

Theo Johnson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+630/-1300).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -850 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1300.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A throwing game script is implied by the Giants being a -6-point underdog in this week's game.

The 9th-most plays in the NFL have been run by the Giants since the start of last season (a massive 58.6 per game on average).

The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while run volume may go down.

Since the start of last season, the fierce Chargers run defense has conceded a measly 0.45 rushing TDs per game to opposing squads: the smallest rate in the league.

The Chargers defensive tackles profile as the 2nd-best group of DTs in football since the start of last season when it comes to stopping the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Right now, the 8th-least pass-heavy team in the league (59.1% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the New York Giants.

Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the New York Giants are anticipated by our trusted projection set to call only 61.6 total plays in this contest: the 4th-fewest on the slate this week.

The New York O-line grades out as the 9th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a harmful influence on all passing offense metrics across the board.

The Los Angeles Chargers defense has allowed the 2nd-fewest receiving TDs in football to TEs: 0.15 per game since the start of last season.

More Theo Johnson Player Props

Theo Johnson TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 4

New York Giants vs Los Angeles Chargers

Theo Johnson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 4