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Theo Johnson

Theo Johnson Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

New York Giants vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Theo Johnson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-102/-107).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +111 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -102.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A throwing game script is implied by the Giants being a -6-point underdog this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect the New York Giants to be the 6th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 60.2% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being called for in this game) typically prompt increased passing efficiency, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume.
  • Since the start of last season, the deficient Kansas City Chiefs pass defense has conceded a whopping 79.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing tight ends: the 6th-largest rate in the NFL.
  • As it relates to defensive ends getting after the quarterback, Kansas City's DE corps has been dreadful since the start of last season, profiling as the worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the New York Giants are anticipated by the predictive model to call only 62.8 plays on offense in this contest: the 9th-lowest number among all teams this week.
  • In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the ramifications it has on all air attack metrics), the offensive line of the Giants profiles as the 10th-worst in football since the start of last season.

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