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Theo Johnson

Theo Johnson Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Detroit Lions vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Theo Johnson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -132 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Giants may throw the ball less this week (and call more rushes) since they be forced to use backup quarterback Jameis Winston.
  • The Giants are a massive 14-point underdog this week, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Giants as the 6th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 62.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is expected by our trusted projection set to see 131.7 plays on offense run: the 3rd-most out of all the games this week.
  • The Giants have run the 6th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 60.0 plays per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This year, the fierce Detroit Lions defense has surrendered a paltry 70.7% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing TEs: the 7th-smallest rate in the league.
  • The Lions linebackers rank as the 3rd-best group of LBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

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