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Theo Johnson

Theo Johnson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

New York Giants vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Theo Johnson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A throwing game script is implied by the Giants being a -6-point underdog this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect the New York Giants to be the 6th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 60.2% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being called for in this game) typically prompt increased passing efficiency, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs defense has been torched for the most adjusted receiving yards per game in football (62.0) to TEs since the start of last season.
  • Since the start of last season, the porous Kansas City Chiefs defense has conceded the 3rd-most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing TEs: a whopping 8.75 yards.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the New York Giants are anticipated by the predictive model to call only 62.8 plays on offense in this contest: the 9th-lowest number among all teams this week.
  • In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the ramifications it has on all air attack metrics), the offensive line of the Giants profiles as the 10th-worst in football since the start of last season.

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