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Theo Johnson

Theo Johnson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

New York Giants vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Theo Johnson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-160/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 33.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 33.5 @ -160.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Giants are expected by the model to call 65.7 offensive plays in this game: the 10th-highest number among all teams this week.
  • The New York Giants have called the 6th-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 60.2 plays per game.
  • In regards to pass protection (and the positive impact it has on all passing game metrics), the offensive line of the Giants ranks as the 8th-best in the NFL this year.
  • The Commanders defense has allowed the 2nd-most adjusted receiving yards per game in football (68.0) to TEs this year.
  • This year, the deficient Washington Commanders defense has surrendered the 2nd-most adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing TEs: a staggering 9.65 yards.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the New York Giants to be the 2nd-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 48.5% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The forecast calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.

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