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Theo Johnson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

New York Giants vs Green Bay Packers

Theo Johnson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 45.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 40.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 45.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The New York Giants may pass less in this game (and hand the ball off more) because they be forced to use backup QB Jameis Winston.

At a -7.5-point disadvantage, the Giants are big underdogs this week, indicating much more of a reliance on throwing than their usual approach.

Right now, the 9th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the New York Giants.

Opposing teams have averaged 38.7 pass attempts per game against the Packers defense this year: 6th-most in the league.

The New York offensive line grades out as the 4th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all pass attack stats across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the moment, the 5th-least pass-centric offense in the league (58.9% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the New York Giants.

Windy weather conditions (like the 18-mph being called for in this game) typically prompt lessened passing effectiveness, lower air volume, and higher rush volume.

The Packers defense has allowed the 7th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 44.0) vs. tight ends this year.

This year, the strong Packers defense has given up the 2nd-least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing tight ends: a meager 6.0 yards.

When it comes to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Green Bay's group of safeties has been very good this year, projecting as the 4th-best in the league.

More Theo Johnson Player Props

Theo Johnson Receiving YardsPlayer Prop Week 11

New York Giants vs Green Bay Packers

Theo Johnson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11