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Theo Johnson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Washington Commanders vs New York Giants

Theo Johnson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-127/+113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -127.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Giants are a 6-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.

The leading projections forecast the New York Giants to be the 8th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 59.2% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The model projects this game to have the 4th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 130.6 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing offenses have averaged 28.9 pass attempts per game against the Commanders defense last year: 3rd-fewest in football.

The New York O-line grades out as the 7th-worst in football last year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all pass attack stats across the board.

Last year, the strong Commanders defense has surrendered a feeble 41.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing tight ends: the 9th-best in the league.

As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Washington's LB corps has been outstanding last year, ranking as the 5th-best in the NFL.

More Theo Johnson Player Props

Theo Johnson Receiving YardsPlayer Prop Week 1

Washington Commanders vs New York Giants

Theo Johnson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1