Tez Johnson Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Tez Johnson

NFL · Player Props

Tez Johnson

WR · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Touchdowns

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 6, 2025

Updated Oct 12, 2025 11:27 PM EST

Analysis

Tez Johnson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+350/-380).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +390 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +350.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Right now, the 8th-most pass-centric team in football near the end zone (58.4% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
The projections expect this game to see the 4th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 130.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The 7th-most plays in football have been run by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers this year (a staggering 59.8 per game on average).
This year, the imposing San Francisco 49ers run defense has conceded a paltry 0.40 rushing TDs per game to the opposing side: the best rate in football.
When it comes to the linebackers' role in defending against the run, San Francisco's group of LBs has been phenomenal this year, projecting as the best in football.

Favors Under

A running game script is indicated by the Buccaneers being a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game.
This year, the tough 49ers defense has given up a meager 0.60 passing touchdowns per game to opposing WRs: the 6th-best rate in the NFL.

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