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Tez Johnson

Tez Johnson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 16

Carolina Panthers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Tez Johnson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+710/-1800).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +1800 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +710.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the moment, the 10th-most pass-centric team in the NFL near the goal line (59.5% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the Buccaneers are favored in this week's contest, suggesting more of a focus on rushing than their typical approach.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to have only 126.4 total plays called: the 3rd-lowest number among all games this week.
  • The Panthers pass defense has allowed the 6th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (62.3%) to wideouts this year (62.3%).
  • This year, the strong Panthers defense has given up a paltry 0.71 passing touchdowns per game to opposing WRs: the 8th-best rate in the league.
  • The Carolina Panthers linebackers profile as the 5th-worst collection of LBs in the league this year in regard to stopping the run.

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