Tez Johnson Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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Tez Johnson

NFL · Player Props

Tez Johnson

WR · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Touchdowns

Carolina Panthers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 16, 2025

Updated Dec 21, 2025 8:07 PM EST

Analysis

Tez Johnson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+710/-1800).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +1800 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +710.

Key Factors

Favors Over

At the moment, the 10th-most pass-centric team in the NFL near the goal line (59.5% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

Favors Under

With a 3-point advantage, the Buccaneers are favored in this week's contest, suggesting more of a focus on rushing than their typical approach.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to have only 126.4 total plays called: the 3rd-lowest number among all games this week.
The Panthers pass defense has allowed the 6th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (62.3%) to wideouts this year (62.3%).
This year, the strong Panthers defense has given up a paltry 0.71 passing touchdowns per game to opposing WRs: the 8th-best rate in the league.
The Carolina Panthers linebackers profile as the 5th-worst collection of LBs in the league this year in regard to stopping the run.

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