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Tetairoa McMillan

Tetairoa McMillan Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Atlanta Falcons vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Tetairoa McMillan Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-116/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -168 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Panthers are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • When it comes to pocket protection (and the strong impact it has on all air attack stats), the offensive line of the Panthers grades out as the 9th-best in the NFL this year.
  • When it comes to cornerbacks in pass coverage, Atlanta's collection of CBs has been awful this year, grading out as the 6th-worst in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Carolina Panthers to be the 2nd-least pass-centric offense in football (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 57.2% pass rate.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is anticipated by the predictive model to have just 127.5 offensive plays run: the 5th-lowest number among all games this week.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been afraid to lean on the pass against the Falcons, averaging the fewest attempts in the league (just 27.1 per game) this year.
  • The Falcons pass defense has allowed the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (60.2%) vs. wideouts this year (60.2%).

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