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Terry McLaurin

Terry McLaurin Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 8

Kansas City Chiefs vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Terry McLaurin Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+300/-320).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -295 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -320.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Washington Commanders will be forced to utilize backup QB Marcus Mariota in this week's contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • At a -10.5-point disadvantage, the Commanders are giant underdogs in this week's contest, implying much more of a reliance on throwing than their typical approach.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to see the 2nd-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 134.1 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • With a high 19.5% Red Zone Target Rate (81st percentile) since the start of last season, Terry McLaurin stands as one of the WRs with the biggest workloads near the goal line in football.
  • When talking about air yards, Terry McLaurin grades out in the lofty 93rd percentile among wide receivers since the start of last season, accruing a colossal 93.0 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Washington Commanders to pass on 59.8% of their chances: the 8th-greatest rate among all teams this week.
  • At the present time, the 5th-most run-focused team in the league near the end zone (49.5% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Washington Commanders.
  • The Washington Commanders have run the fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging just 53.7 plays per game.
  • Opposing teams teams have been afraid to pass too much against the Kansas City Chiefs, totaling the fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 29.1 per game) this year.
  • Terry McLaurin's 57.0% Adjusted Catch% this season illustrates a meaningful regression in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 70.4% figure.

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