My Account Log Out
 
 
Terry McLaurin

Terry McLaurin Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 6

Washington Commanders vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
Terry McLaurin Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+172/-194).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +188 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +172.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 135.2 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • Terry McLaurin has been a big part of his team's passing offense near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 19.5% since the start of last season, which places him in the 80th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
  • When talking about air yards, Terry McLaurin grades out in the towering 93rd percentile among wideouts since the start of last season, accruing a monstrous 93.0 per game.
  • Terry McLaurin has been in the 88th percentile when it comes to wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive usage) with a remarkable 62.6 mark since the start of last season.
  • This year, the feeble Bears defense has allowed a whopping 1.50 receiving TDs per game to opposing WRs: the 3rd-largest rate in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread implies a rushing game script for the Commanders, who are favored by 4.5 points.
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Washington Commanders to pass on 55.0% of their chances: the 3rd-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • At the moment, the 6th-most run-heavy team in the NFL in the red zone (46.6% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Commanders.
  • The Washington Commanders have run the 7th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 53.2 plays per game.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.0 pass attempts per game against the Bears defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the NFL.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™