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Terry McLaurin

Terry McLaurin Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 3

Washington Commanders vs Las Vegas Raiders

Terry McLaurin Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+198/-275).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +205 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +198.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Washington Commanders may take to the air less in this week's game (and call more carries) given that they be rolling with backup quarterback Marcus Mariota.

The predictive model expects this game to have the 2nd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 133.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Washington Commanders have called the 3rd-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 59.9 plays per game.

Terry McLaurin has been a key part of his team's offense near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 19.8% since the start of last season, which places him in the 82nd percentile when it comes to WRs.

When talking about air yards, Terry McLaurin grades out in the towering 94th percentile among wideouts since the start of last season, averaging a staggering 95.0 per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread indicates a running game script for the Commanders, who are favored by 3 points.

The model projects the Washington Commanders to be the 6th-most run-heavy offense in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) right now with a 46.8% red zone run rate.

Terry McLaurin's 51.5% Adjusted Completion% this year conveys a material regression in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 70.4% figure.

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