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Terry McLaurin

Terry McLaurin Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 16

Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Terry McLaurin Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+245/-280).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -280 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -280.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Commanders, who are -6.5-point underdogs.
  • At the moment, the 9th-quickest paced offense in the league (adjusted for context) according to the model is the Washington Commanders.
  • With a sizeable 29.6% Red Zone Target Share (97th percentile) this year, Terry McLaurin stands as one of the WRs with the most usage near the goal line in the league.
  • When it comes to air yards, Terry McLaurin grades out in the towering 92nd percentile among wide receivers this year, accumulating a monstrous 96.0 per game.
  • Terry McLaurin places in the 89th percentile when it comes to wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) with a remarkable 61.0 mark this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the moment, the 4th-most run-focused offense in the NFL near the goal line (48.7% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Commanders.
  • Terry McLaurin's 60.1% Adjusted Completion Rate this season conveys a noteable drop-off in his pass-catching ability over last season's 70.4% rate.
  • This year, the stout Philadelphia Eagles defense has given up a puny 63.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the smallest rate in football.
  • This year, the stout Philadelphia Eagles defense has allowed a measly 0.43 passing TDs per game to opposing WRs: the 2nd-best rate in football.

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