Terry McLaurin Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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Terry McLaurin

NFL · Player Props

Terry McLaurin

WR · Washington Commanders

Touchdowns

Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 16, 2025

Updated Dec 20, 2025 10:02 PM UTC

Analysis

Terry McLaurin Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+245/-280).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -280 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -280.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Commanders, who are -6.5-point underdogs.
At the moment, the 9th-quickest paced offense in the league (adjusted for context) according to the model is the Washington Commanders.
With a sizeable 29.6% Red Zone Target Share (97th percentile) this year, Terry McLaurin stands as one of the WRs with the most usage near the goal line in the league.
When it comes to air yards, Terry McLaurin grades out in the towering 92nd percentile among wide receivers this year, accumulating a monstrous 96.0 per game.
Terry McLaurin places in the 89th percentile when it comes to wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) with a remarkable 61.0 mark this year.

Favors Under

At the moment, the 4th-most run-focused offense in the NFL near the goal line (48.7% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Commanders.
Terry McLaurin's 60.1% Adjusted Completion Rate this season conveys a noteable drop-off in his pass-catching ability over last season's 70.4% rate.
This year, the stout Philadelphia Eagles defense has given up a puny 63.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the smallest rate in football.
This year, the stout Philadelphia Eagles defense has allowed a measly 0.43 passing TDs per game to opposing WRs: the 2nd-best rate in football.

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