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Terry McLaurin

Terry McLaurin Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 15

New York Giants vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Terry McLaurin Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+198/-320).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -320 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -320.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Commanders may throw the ball less in this contest (and call more rushes) since they be rolling with backup quarterback Marcus Mariota.
  • With a remarkable 29.6% Red Zone Target% (97th percentile) this year, Terry McLaurin rates among the wideouts with the most usage near the goal line in football.
  • After accumulating 94.0 air yards per game last season, Terry McLaurin has made big progress this season, now pacing 100.0 per game.
  • Terry McLaurin has been in the 90th percentile when it comes to WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) with a massive 61.9 figure this year.
  • This year, the shaky New York Giants defense has allowed a monstrous 1.08 receiving touchdowns per game to opposing wideouts: the 7th-biggest rate in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Washington Commanders as the 8th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 52.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects the Washington Commanders to be the 5th-most run-heavy offense in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 48.6% red zone run rate.
  • As far as a defense's effect on pace, at 29.34 seconds per snap, the predictive model expects the Washington Commanders to be the 5th-slowest in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 17-mph being predicted in this game) usually lead to lessened passing effectiveness, reduced air volume, and higher ground volume.
  • Terry McLaurin's ball-catching skills have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate shrinking from 70.4% to 58.8%.

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