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Terry McLaurin

Terry McLaurin Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 13

Washington Commanders vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Terry McLaurin Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+310/-435).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -330 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -435.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Commanders may throw the ball less this week (and call more rushes) since they be forced to utilize backup quarterback Marcus Mariota.
  • The Commanders are a 6-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to have the highest number of plays run among all games this week at 135.3 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Commanders to be the 3rd-most run-focused offense in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 50.6% red zone run rate.
  • The Washington Commanders have run the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 53.9 plays per game.
  • While Terry McLaurin has earned 20.0% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a less important option in Washington's passing offense near the goal line this week at 14.9%.
  • Terry McLaurin has put up far fewer air yards this season (83.0 per game) than he did last season (94.0 per game).
  • Terry McLaurin's 55.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit worse this year than it was last year at 63.7.

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