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Terry McLaurin

Terry McLaurin Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Washington Commanders vs Chicago Bears

Terry McLaurin Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-165/+125).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 135.2 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.

In this week's contest, Terry McLaurin is expected by the projection model to secure a spot in the 79th percentile among wide receivers with 7.0 targets.

Terry McLaurin has been in the 88th percentile when it comes to wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive usage) with a remarkable 62.6 mark since the start of last season.

The Chicago Bears linebackers rank as the 5th-worst LB corps in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread implies a rushing game script for the Commanders, who are favored by 4.5 points.

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Washington Commanders to pass on 55.0% of their chances: the 3rd-lowest rate among all teams this week.

The Washington Commanders have run the 7th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 53.2 plays per game.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.0 pass attempts per game against the Bears defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the NFL.

As it relates to pass-blocking (and the significance it has on all passing game statistics), the O-line of the Commanders grades out as the 8th-worst in the league this year.

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