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Terry McLaurin Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles

Terry McLaurin Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+120/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Commanders, who are -6.5-point underdogs.

At the moment, the 9th-quickest paced offense in the league (adjusted for context) according to the model is the Washington Commanders.

The model projects Terry McLaurin to garner 7.4 targets in this week's contest, on balance, placing him in the 83rd percentile among wide receivers.

The Eagles safeties rank as the worst collection of safeties in football this year in pass coverage.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Commanders to be the 8th-least pass-heavy team in football (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 57.9% pass rate.

Terry McLaurin's 72.9% Route Participation Rate this season marks a meaningful decline in his pass attack utilization over last season's 84.3% rate.

Terry McLaurin's pass-catching performance worsened this season, accumulating a measly 3.0 adjusted receptions compared to 4.8 last season.

Terry McLaurin's 60.1% Adjusted Completion Rate this season conveys a noteable drop-off in his pass-catching ability over last season's 70.4% rate.

The Eagles pass defense has given up the 2nd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (57.3%) vs. wide receivers this year (57.3%).

More Terry McLaurin Player Props

Terry McLaurin ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 16

Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles

Terry McLaurin Receptions
Player Prop Week 16